通勤路上没事听的播客,记录一下。
一个是 Lex Fridman 在跟 DHH(Ruby on rails 的作者)聊天中谈到的观点:
But I mean, we should emphasize the fact that planning is nearly impossible with AI. I mean, most of us plan our life a little bit. When we’re younger, you have, like, hopes and dreams. There’s a reason you go to college. There’s a plan underlying that.
… nuts that it’s impossible to really plan. Because, like, you really don’t know if there will even be a Claude Code, a Codex, and Cursor six months from now. Maybe it’ll be you’ll be talking to WhatsApp.
另一个是 Planet Money 的 Summer School,牙买加一个机构负责人谈到他的观点:
If you were to ask me, What is the single most important institution that underpins the tremendous growth in prosperity through the history of mankind? my answer would be the invention of the idea of property rights. Once property rights are invented– and I think this was probably 5,000 years ago, in Mesopotamia– then, for the first time, people have an incentive to save a part of their current product, to invest in the property, and then you get the miracle of compounding. You invest a little in the capacity of your productive resource. Then you produce more. Then you reinvest in it again. And that underlies the exponential growth of property.
当然他们说得也不一定对,仅供讨论,但如果一个机构执着于制定计划,总觉得自己能把握几年之后的世界,同时坚持不承认私有产权……能把这两样都占了,也是古今中外的奇观了。